Analytics 2.0

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Comparison of churn rates

Posted on | May 14, 2007 | Comments Off

One of the most closely guarded secrets in business seems to be the churn rate. This is the rate of attrition, over a period of time, that subscriber-based customers “churn out” (unsubscribe) of the customer base. Churn rates are often measured in monthly terms, especially in the cable and satellite television and the wireless telephone industries. Business analysts will often look at the churn rate on a quarterly basis. Likewise, an annual rate of churn is a commonly used measure.

Recently, I got to searching the Internet for a comprehensive list of churn rates, if such a thing existed. A churn rate table, across industries. But alas, nobody seems to have compiled a database measuring the percent of customers who churn out of various companies, across sectors. So, I had no choice but to create such a table.

If you try to discover reported churn rates, the first thing you’ll notice is that companies will use various time periods as the basis. Monthly, quarterly, annually. I even found one study of lawyer retention rates that spanned a four-year period. So, to try to make this an apples to apples comparison, I converted all of the churn rates I found to “per year” terms. Note, however, if a company reported a 2% monthly churn rate, I did not say that equates to a 24% annual rate (2% times twelve months). Rather, I calculated a sliding count, such that in the first month, 100 customers would dwindle to 98. But in the second month, the 98 customers would decrease to only 96.04 customers (98 minus 2% of 98).

The table below expresses 67 different churn rates at different companies in different industries at different times. As I discover more churn rates in my travels, I will update my spreadsheet and occasionally edit this chart. I’m quite certain that I will get feedback in the Comments section, pointing out the perceived errors in my table, or suggesting new data points worthy of adding. I look forward to that! For verification, I have placed a link at the bottom of the table, showing the source material for this table. It would be fantastic if this post became the Internet’s number-one repository of publicly available churn rates.

Since I’ve put in some backbreaking coding work creating this table, I would at least appreciate that if you use it and get value out of it, please return a favor by subscribing to my blog via FeedBlitz. Just type your e-mail address into that form over there, on the right. That way, you’ll be updated when I have something new to report.

And now, without further ado, Inside Market Research presents the…

BIG LIST OF CHURN RATES

Annual Churn Company Industry Data Year Country

1.0% Cox (triple-play customers) Cable TV 2002 US

4.0% C I Host Web Hosting 2003 US

4.0% Earthlink Internet Service 1999 US

4.5% Greenberg Traurig (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

4.6% Reed Smith (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

4.6% Sonnenschein (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

4.9% Local Telecom 2000 US

5.0% Piper Rudnick (lawyers) Legal 2006 US

5.3% Baker & McKenzie (lawyers) Legal 2005 US

5.7% Local Telecom 2002 US

6.0% Sirius Satellite Radio 2005 US

6.0% Wireless 2002 US

6.1% Local Telecom 2001 US

6.3% Holland & Knight (lawyers) Legal 2004 US

6.4% White & Case (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

6.5% McGuire Woods (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

6.6% Sirius Satellite Radio 2004 US

7.0% Morgan, Lewis (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

7.2% Sirius Satellite Radio 2006 US

7.5% Nextel Wireless 2001 US

7.9% Howrey (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

8.0% Triton PCS Wireless 2001 US

8.0% U.S. Cellular Wireless 2001 US

9.0% Wireless 2001 US

9.6% Duane Morris (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

9.6% Wireless 2000 US

10.0% Web Hosting 2003 US

10.0% Western Wireless Wireless 2001 US

10.3% Akin Group (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

11.0% Alamosa PCS Wireless 2001 US

14.0% Virgin Mobile Wireless 2005 GB

15.0% Nascar.com (premium subs.) Sports Media 2004 US

16.0% Nextel Wireless 2005 US

17.0% Colorado teachers Education 2004 US

17.0% Schnader Harrison (lawyers) Legal 2003 US

17.0% DBS TV 2002 US

17.2% Vodaphone Wireless 2005 IT

18.0% DirecTV DBS TV 2003 US

18.3% Vodaphone Wireless 2005 DE

19.0% Alltel Wireless 2005 US

20.0% Hutchison Telecommunications Wireless 2005 IN

20.0% Wireless 2001 AU

21.9% Vodaphone Wireless 2005 ES

22.0% Analog cable subscribers Cable TV 2002 US

23.0% Cingular Wireless 2005 US

23.0% Sprint Wireless 2005 US

23.0% Colorado teachers Education 2004 US

25.0% Wireless 2005 GB

26.0% Sprint Wireless 2005 US

26.0% Subscribers Cable TV 2002 US

29.7% Vodaphone Wireless 2005 GB

30.0% LD Telecom 2002 US

31.0% Globe Prepaid Wireless 2003 PH

31.0% Pagers 1998 US

34.8% T-Mobile Wireless 2005 GB

35.0% Maricopa County (anglers) Recreation 2002 US

36.0% Las Americas – Cable California Cable TV 2002 MX

37.0% E-mail addresses 2003 US

45.0% E-mail addresses 2004 US

46.0% Prepaid Calling Cards 2004 US

46.0% Digital cable subscribers Cable TV 2002 US

51.0% Globe Prepaid Wireless 2004 PH

52.0% Florence (AL) Times Daily (readers) Newspapers 2005 US

58.0% Snowball.com E-mail newsletter 2000 US

78.0% Touch Mobile Prepaid Wireless 2004 PH

93.0% VOOM HD TV 2004 US

93.0% Runoff at time of sale Home Mortgage 2002 US

For more information visit Gregory Kohs Blog, Insider Market Research, the guy who did this incredible job.

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